Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23.9 (22.6-25.2) | 31.2 (30.4-32.0) | 39.8 (39.1-40.5) | 49.1 (47.6-50.6) | 58.2 (55.7-60.4) |
| Males | 22.4 (20.6-24.2) | 29.3 (28.2-30.4) | 37.8 (36.8-38.9) | 47.3 (45.0-49.3) | 56.7 (53.2-59.9) |
| Females | 25.4 (23.8-27.1) | 33.0 (32.0-34.1) | 41.9 (41.0-42.7) | 51.1 (49.2-53.0) | 59.9 (57.0-62.8) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 22.6 (21.3-24.0) | 29.8 (29.0-30.7) | 38.4 (37.7-39.2) | 47.9 (46.3-49.5) | 57.1 (54.6-59.4) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 36.0 (31.9-40.2) | 43.1 (40.9-45.5) | 50.7 (48.8-52.6) | 58.2 (54.4-61.7) | 65.1 (59.3-70.2) |
| Hispanic | 21.3 (14.7-29.3) | 29.5 (25.1-34.1) | 39.5 (36.1-42.9) | 50.1 (42.2-58.3) | 59.7 (47.0-71.5) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 25.0 (18.6-32.6) | 30.4 (26.8-34.3) | 36.6 (33.6-39.3) | 43.3 (36.3-49.8) | 49.9 (37.5-60.7) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 28.9 (26.5-31.6) | 35.9 (34.6-37.3) | 43.7 (42.3-45.2) | 51.8 (48.8-54.6) | 59.6 (55.2-63.6) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 23.6 (21.7-25.8) | 31.6 (30.5-32.8) | 41.3 (40.2-42.5) | 51.8 (49.4-54.2) | 61.5 (58.0-65.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 19.8 (17.5-22.1) | 27.7 (26.1-29.2) | 37.5 (36.5-38.7) | 48.4 (45.9-51.0) | 58.8 (54.7-62.7) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.4 (7.6-9.3) | 12.8 (12.2-13.4) | 18.6 (18.0-19.2) | 25.4 (24.0-26.9) | 32.6 (30.1-35.1) |
| Males | 5.9 (5.1-6.9) | 9.7 (9.0-10.5) | 15.1 (14.3-15.9) | 22.0 (20.1-23.9) | 29.6 (26.2-33.1) |
| Females | 10.9 (9.7-12.2) | 15.9 (15.1-16.7) | 22.1 (21.4-22.9) | 29.1 (27.3-30.9) | 36.1 (33.0-39.1) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.5 (6.8-8.4) | 11.8 (11.2-12.4) | 17.5 (16.9-18.1) | 24.5 (23.0-26.0) | 32.0 (29.3-34.5) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 16.6 (13.7-19.7) | 21.7 (19.9-23.6) | 27.4 (25.8-29.1) | 33.4 (29.7-37.1) | 39.2 (33.1-45.2) |
| Hispanic | 8.4 (4.5-13.5) | 12.0 (8.8-15.2) | 16.6 (14.2-19.1) | 21.9 (16.0-28.9) | 27.1 (16.7-39.1) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 10.0 (6.0-14.7) | 12.9 (10.2-15.8) | 16.5 (14.4-18.7) | 20.6 (15.2-26.6) | 24.8 (15.6-36.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 13.1 (11.3-14.9) | 17.8 (16.7-18.9) | 23.3 (22.0-24.6) | 29.4 (26.6-32.1) | 35.6 (31.1-39.8) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 7.7 (6.6-8.9) | 12.7 (11.9-13.5) | 19.6 (18.6-20.5) | 27.9 (25.8-30.1) | 36.4 (32.9-40.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 5.8 (4.6-7.0) | 9.5 (8.6-10.5) | 14.9 (14.1-15.7) | 21.8 (19.5-24.0) | 29.1 (24.9-33.3) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301