Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23.3 (22.6-24.0) | 28.8 (28.4-29.3) | 35.1 (34.7-35.5) | 42.0 (41.2-42.7) | 48.9 (47.7-50.1) |
| Males | 21.2 (20.5-21.9) | 26.8 (26.3-27.3) | 33.3 (32.8-33.8) | 40.6 (39.7-41.5) | 48.2 (46.8-49.6) |
| Females | 25.4 (24.6-26.3) | 30.9 (30.3-31.4) | 36.9 (36.5-37.4) | 43.4 (42.5-44.3) | 49.9 (48.5-51.4) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 21.6 (21.0-22.3) | 27.2 (26.8-27.7) | 33.7 (33.3-34.1) | 40.8 (40.0-41.6) | 48.1 (46.8-49.4) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 36.1 (35.0-37.2) | 41.1 (40.5-41.8) | 46.4 (45.8-46.8) | 51.7 (50.8-52.6) | 56.9 (55.5-58.4) |
| Hispanic | 26.8 (25.6-28.2) | 32.7 (31.9-33.5) | 39.1 (38.6-39.6) | 45.8 (44.8-46.7) | 52.4 (50.7-54.0) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 19.5 (18.3-20.7) | 21.9 (21.2-22.5) | 24.5 (24.1-25.0) | 27.4 (26.5-28.4) | 30.5 (28.8-32.2) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 27.3 (26.5-28.1) | 33.7 (33.2-34.2) | 40.8 (40.3-41.2) | 48.2 (47.5-49.0) | 55.6 (54.4-56.8) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 23.4 (22.7-24.2) | 30.1 (29.6-30.6) | 37.8 (37.3-38.2) | 46.1 (45.3-46.9) | 54.4 (53.1-55.7) |
| Income: $50k or more | 20.2 (19.3-21.0) | 25.7 (25.1-26.3) | 32.2 (31.8-32.7) | 39.5 (38.7-40.3) | 47.1 (45.8-48.5) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
Severe Obesity Prevalence
| Group | 1990 | 2000 | 2010 | 2020 | 2030 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8.4 (7.9-8.8) | 11.4 (11.1-11.7) | 15.1 (14.8-15.4) | 19.4 (18.7-20.1) | 24.2 (22.9-25.5) |
| Males | 5.9 (5.5-6.3) | 8.5 (8.2-8.8) | 11.9 (11.6-12.2) | 16.2 (15.4-16.9) | 21.1 (19.6-22.6) |
| Females | 10.9 (10.2-11.5) | 14.3 (13.8-14.7) | 18.3 (17.9-18.7) | 22.8 (22.0-23.7) | 27.6 (26.1-29.2) |
| White, non-Hispanic | 7.5 (7.0-7.9) | 10.4 (10.1-10.7) | 14.1 (13.8-14.4) | 18.5 (17.8-19.2) | 23.4 (22.1-24.8) |
| Black, non-Hispanic | 16.0 (15.0-16.8) | 19.5 (18.9-20.0) | 23.3 (22.9-23.8) | 27.5 (26.4-28.4) | 31.7 (29.9-33.4) |
| Hispanic | 9.6 (8.9-10.4) | 12.7 (12.1-13.2) | 16.2 (15.8-16.6) | 20.2 (19.3-21.2) | 24.5 (22.8-26.2) |
| Other, non-Hispanic | 7.0 (6.5-7.7) | 8.4 (8.0-8.8) | 9.9 (9.7-10.2) | 11.7 (11.0-12.4) | 13.7 (12.4-15.0) |
| Income: Less than $20k | 11.5 (10.9-12.2) | 15.6 (15.2-16.0) | 20.5 (20.1-20.9) | 26.0 (25.1-26.9) | 31.7 (30.2-33.2) |
| Income: $20k to $50k | 8.2 (7.8-8.7) | 12.0 (11.6-12.3) | 16.8 (16.4-17.2) | 22.5 (21.6-23.3) | 28.6 (27.1-30.0) |
| Income: $50k or more | 6.1 (5.7-6.5) | 8.7 (8.4-9.0) | 12.2 (11.9-12.5) | 16.6 (15.8-17.3) | 21.5 (20.2-22.9) |
NOTES:
• Data shown in the table are estimated means with 95% confidence intervals (CIs)
• Obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 30
• Severe obesity is defined as a BMI value that is greater than or equal to 35
All tables and charts based on data from:
Ward ZJ, Bleich SN, Cradock AL, Barrett JL, Giles CM, Flax CN, Long MW, Gortmaker SL. Projected U.S. State-Level Prevalence of Adult Obesity and Severe Obesity. N Engl J Med. 2019;381:2440-50. doi: 10.1056/NEJMsa1909301